*Aduda, Levke & Bussmann, Margit (2019, online first): Mediation and the Dynamics of Civilian Victimisation in Intrastate Conflicts in Africa. *Civil Wars. use "AdudaBussmann_2019_CW.dta" *Table 1 xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvgovt L.med_yesno L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.med_yesno L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.talks_conflict_behavior L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust * Figure 1 xtreg losvtotal L.USA L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire, fe robust estimate store USA xtreg losvtotal L.UK L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire, fe robust estimate store UK xtreg losvtotal L.FR L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire, fe robust estimate store FR xtreg losvtotal L.wes_dem L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire, fe robust estimate store wes_dem xtreg losvtotal L.africa L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire, fe robust estimate store africa estimate store UN xtreg losvtotal L.AU L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire, fe robust estimate store AU # del; coefplot (USA UK FR wes_dem africa UN AU, mcolor(red) ciopts(lcolor(red))), drop (_cons L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) xline(0, lcolor(black) lwidth(thin) lpattern(dash)) coeflabels(L.USA="United States" L.UK="United Kingdom" L.FR="France" L.wes_dem="Western democracies" L.africa="African states" L.UN="United Nations" L.AU="African Union"); # del cr *Online Appendix *Table A1: Mediation and OSV, controlled for onset and termination of ceasefires (column 1-2) * and accounting for mediation taking place in the same instead of the previous month (column 3-5) xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal cease_beg troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal cease_end troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvtotal med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvgovt med_yesno L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvreb med_yesno L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust *Table A2: Mediation and OSV, accounting for different time lags (column 1-2), *controlling for months passed since last mediation effort (column 3), *and conflict duration (column 4) xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L2.med_yesno L3.med_yesno L4.med_yesno L5.med_yesno L6.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L2.med_yesno L3.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag monthssincelastmed, fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag duration, fe robust *Table A3: Mediation onset and OSV xtreg losvtotal L.med_begins L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvgovt L.med_begins L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.med_begins L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust *Table A4: Mediation and OSV, controlling for the presence of multiple dyads xtreg losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag multiple_dyads, fe robust xtreg losvgovt L.med_yesno L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag multiple_dyads, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.med_yesno L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag multiple_dyads, fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.talks_conflict_behavior L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag multiple_dyads, fe robust *Table A5: Mediation by issue under discussion and OSV xtreg losvgovt L.talks_incompatibility L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.talks_incompatibility L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvgovt L.talks_other L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.talks_other L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvgovt L.talks_conflict_behavior L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.talks_conflict_behavior L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust *Table A6: Direct and indirect talks and OSV xtreg losvgovt L.direct_talks L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.direct_talks L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvgovt L.indirect_talks L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust xtreg losvreb L.indirect_talks L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, fe robust *Table A7: Heckman models heckman losvtotal L.med_yesno L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, sel(med_yesno=L.losvtotal L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed ) cluster(country_id) heckman losvgovt L.med_yesno L.losvgovt losvreb lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, sel(med_yesno=L.losvgovt losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed ) cluster(country_id) heckman losvreb L.med_yesno L.losvreb losvgovt lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag, sel(med_yesno=L.losvreb losvgovt L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed ) cluster(country_id) *Table A8: Figure 1 from main article xtreg losvtotal L.USA L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.UK L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.FR L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.wes_dem L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.africa L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.UN L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust xtreg losvtotal L.AU L.losvtotal lbattledeathstotal ceasefire troopLag , fe robust *Table A9: OSV and mediation onset probit med_begins L.losvtotal L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed , cluster (country_id) probit med_begins L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, robust cluster(country_id) probit med_begins L.osvgovt_high L.osvreb_high L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, robust cluster(country_id) probit med_begins L.osvgovt_high_con L.osvreb_high_con L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, robust cluster(country_id) *Table A10: OSV and mediation onset by mediator probit USA L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, cluster (country_id) probit UK L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, cluster (country_id) probit FR L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, cluster (country_id) probit UN L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, cluster (country_id) probit AU L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, cluster (country_id) probit africa L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, cluster (country_id) probit wes_dem L.losvgovt L.losvreb L.lbattledeathsgovt L.lbattledeathsreb monthssincelastmed _spline1 _spline2 _spline3, robust cluster(country_id) *Table A11. Tests of Panel Granger causality between mediation and OSV (see Figure 2 main article) pvar losvgovt med_yesno, lag(1) exog(lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) vce (cluster country_id) pvargranger pvarirf pvar losvgovt med_yesno, lag(2) exog(lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) vce (cluster country_id) pvargranger pvar losvgovt med_yesno, lag(3) exog(lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) vce (cluster country_id) pvargranger pvar losvreb med_yesno, lag(1) exog(lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) vce (cluster country_id) pvargranger pvarirf pvar losvreb med_yesno, lag(2) exog(lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) vce (cluster country_id) pvargranger pvar losvreb med_yesno, lag(3) exog(lbattledeathstotal troopLag ceasefire) vce (cluster country_id) pvargranger *Table A12. Tests of Granger causality between mediation and government OSV for selected countries *Burundi varsoc losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==516 varbasic losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==516, lags(1) vargranger *Sudan varsoc losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==625 varbasic losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==625, lags(1) vargranger *Somalia varsoc losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==520, maxlag(6) varbasic losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==520, lags(5) vargranger *Angola varsoc losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==540 varbasic losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==540, lags(1/3) vargranger * Rwanda varsoc losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==517, maxlag(6) varbasic losvgovt med_yesno if country_id==517, lags(1) vargranger